Stochastic Processes in Information Systems - ECE69500
Learning Objective:
Understand the mathematical principles of stochastic processes Acquire and the intuition necessary to create, analyze, and understand insightful models for a broad range of discrete and continuous stochastic processes Learn how to choose and apply the best possible models to real-world situations in engineering, operations research, physics, biology, economics, finance, statistics, etc.
Topics Covered:
| Lecture | Topic |
|---|---|
| 1 | Course overview, Review of probability models and random variables |
| 2 | Expectation, Sums of I.I.D. random variables, Sample averages, the Bernoulli process |
| 3 | Laws of large numbers, Convergence, Central limit theorem, Markov/Chebyshev inequalities |
| 4 | Poisson process, Memoryless property, Stationary increment, Independent increments |
| 5 | Combining and splitting Poisson process |
| 6 | Order statistics, Conditional arrival epoches, From Poisson to Markov |
| 7 | Finite-state Markov chains, the matrix approach |
| 8 | Markov eigenvalues and eigenvectors, Chapmann-Kolmogorov equation, Perron-Frobenius theory |
| 9 | Markov rewards and dynamic programming, Expected first passage time |
| 10 | Renewal process, Strong law of large numbers (SLLN), Time averages vs. ensemble averages |
| 11 | Renewal rewards, Stopping times, Wald's equality, Elementary renewal theory |
| 12 | Blackwell's theorem, Renewal process and Markov chains, Residual life, age, duration |
| 13 | Renewal reward processes, Time-average, ensemble-average renewal reward theorems |
| 14 | Key renewal theorem, Distribution of residual life |
| 15 | Queuing theory, Little's theorem, Time average waiting times |
| 16 | Markov chains with countable state space, Recurrence classes, Recurrence times |
| 17 | Countable-state Markov processes, Kolmogorov differential equations |
| 18 | Birth-death chains, Reversibility |
| 19 | Burke's theorem for M/M/1 queues, Semi-Markov processes |
| 20 | Markov processes and random walks |
| 21 | Hypothesis testing and random walks, Threshold crossing bounds, Large deviations theory |
| 22 | Random walks and thresholds |
| 23 | Martingales (plain, sub and super) |
| 24 | Martingales: stopping, Kolmogorov (sub)martingale inequality |
| 25 | Martingales: converging |
| 26 | Conclusion |
Prerequisites:
ECE 60000, Random Variables and Signals Comprehensive knowledge of elementary probability at the level of ECE 60000, Random Variables and Signals, which uses the text Probability, Random Variables, and Stochastic Processes, Papoulis & Pillai, 4th edition, McGraw Hill, 2022
Textbooks:
Required:
- Stochastic Processes, 2nd Edition, Ross, Sheldon, Wiley, 1996, ISBN No. 978-0471120629
- Stochastic Processes: Theory for Applications, Gallagher, Robert G., Cambridge University Press, 2013, ISBN No. 978-1107039759
Recommended:
- Adventures in Stochastic Processes with Illustrations, Sidney Resnick, Springer Scientific+Business Media 2002
- An Introduction to Probability Theory, 2nd Edition, D. Bertsekas and J. Tsitsiklis, Athena Scientific, 2008
- An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol 1, 3rd Edition, William Feller, Wiley, 1968
- An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol 2, William Feller, Wiley, 1971