The Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers meet at Oracle Arena on Monday night. The Warriors are 10.5-point favorites, down one point from the open. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 217, up three from an open of 214.
Before you lock in your picks and bets for Blazers-Warriors, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model is picking.
The model is on a red-hot 34-18 run in A-rated against the spread picks this NBA season and is fresh off a week in which it went 10-3. Anyone who has followed its advice is up big.
Now, the model simulated Warriors-Blazers 10,000 times and locked in against the spread, Over-Under, and money line picks. You can only see them over at SportsLine.
We can tell you that while 74 percent of the public is on the Over, SportsLine's model says it's truly a coin flip -- the Over and Under each hit about half the time. So, tread lightly before following the masses and going Over.
The model knows the Warriors come into Monday night's game on a six-game win streak despite Stephen Curry (ankle) being sidelined. All six wins were on the road, and the Warriors now return home, where they've only lost three times this season.
In Curry's stead, Kevin Durant has led the team in scoring the last two games with 71 total points and posted a triple-double last Wednesday against the Hornets.
But just because the Warriors have been hot doesn't mean they cover an 11-point spread.
The Blazers have lost their last four games, but all four have been at home. Now, they go back on the road, where they've won three straight. A change of scenery could be just what the doctor ordered.
The road team is 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings and Curry will be out again on Monday night, as will Warriors center Zaza Pachulia (shoulder).
So does SportsLine's computer model's strong pick say take the Warriors -10.5, or go with the underdog Trail Blazers and the points? Visit SportsLine now to see what side of Blazers-Warriors you need to be all over, all from the model that's 34-18 on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.