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Value through Reliability, Safety, and Sustainability Lab

Publications

Journal Papers

  1. 1. Nicoletta Fala & Karen Marais, Cognitive Biases in Risk Communication during Post-Flight Debrief, The International Journal of Aerospace Psychology, (2022) https://doi.org/10.1080/24721840.2022.2086129.
  2. I Ostroumov, K Marais, N Kuzmenko, Aircraft positioning using multiple distance measurements and spline prediction, Aviation 26 (1), 1–10-1–10. https://doi.org/10.3846/aviation.2022.16589

  3. Neelakshi Majumdar, Karen Marais, and Arjun Rao, Analysis of General Aviation fixed-wing aircraft accidents involving inflight loss of control using a state-based approach, Aviation 25 (4), 2021, 283-294. https://doi.org/10.3846/aviation.2021.15837

  4. Ostroumov, I., Marais, K., Kuzmenko, N. and Fala, N. 2020. Triple probability density distribution model in the task of aviation risk assessment. Aviation. 24, 2 (Jul. 2020), 57-65. DOI:https://doi.org/10.3846/aviation.2020.12544.

  5. Aloisio DC, Marais K (2020) Preventing slips, overruns, and cancellations: Application of system accident investigations and theory to the understanding and prevention of engineering project failures. PLoS ONE 15(3): e0229825. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0229825
  6. Arjun Rao and Karen Marais, "A state-based approach to modeling general aviation accidents", Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 193, January 2020. DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106670
  7. Payuna Uday, Rakshit Chandrahasa, and Karen Marais, "System Importance Measures: Definitions and Application to System-of-Systems Analysis", Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 191:106582, November 2019. DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106582
  8. Arjun Rao and Karen Marais, "High Risk Occurrence Chains in Helicopter Accidents", Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 170: 93-98, February 2018.
  9. Payuna Uday and Karen Marais, “Designing Resilient Systems-of-Systems: A Survey of Metrics, Methods, and Challenges”, Systems Engineering, Volume 18, Issue 5, October 2015, Pages 491–510, DOI: 10.1002/sys.21325.
  10. Fala, N., Uday, P., Le, T.L., and Marais, K., "Surface Performance of End-around Taxiways", Air Traffic Control Quarterly, Volume 22, Issue 4, 327-351, 2014. [This paper was accepted for publication in June 2015. This journal ran behind with issue assignments and this Issue was only published in October 2015].
  11. Sheng, H., Landry, S., and Marais, K. “Assessment of Stratospheric Fuel Burn by Civil Commercial Aviation”, Transportation Research, Part D, Volume 34, pg. 1-15, January 2015.
  12. Saleh, J.H., Marais, K.B., Favaró, F.M., "A Synthesis of System Safety Principles: Multidisciplinary Engineering Perspectives," Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries, April 2014, 29: 283-294.
  13. Marais, K.B. “Value maximizing maintenance policies under general repair”, Reliability Engineering & System Safety, Volume 119, November 2013, Pages 76-87.
  14. Marais K.B., Reynolds, T.G., Uday, P., Muller, D., Lovegren, J., Dumont, J., and Hansman, R.J. “Evaluation of Potential Near-Term Operational Changes to Mitigate Environmental Impacts of Aviation,” Journal of Aerospace Engineering, 227(8): 1277-1299, August 2013.
  15. Marais, K.B. and Robichaud, M., “Analysis of Trends in Aviation Maintenance Risk: An Empirical Approach,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 106: 104-118, October 2012.
  16. Saleh J.H., Marais, K.B. Bakolas E., Cowlagi, R.V., “Highlights from the literature on accident causation and system safety: Review of major ideas, recent contributions, and challenges,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 95(11): 1105-1116, November 2010.
  17. Hoepfer, V.M., Saleh, J.H., and Marais, K., “On the value of redundancy subject to common-cause failures: Toward the resolution of an on-going debate,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 94, (12): 1904-1916, December 2009.
  18. Leveson, N.G. Dulac, N., Marais, K., and Carroll, J.S., "Moving Beyond Normal Accidents and High Reliability Organizations: A Systems Approach to Safety in Complex Systems," Organization Studies, 30(2&3): 91-13, March 2009.
  19. Marais, K., Saleh, J.H., “Beyond its cost, the value of maintenance: An analytical framework for capturing its Net Present Value,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 94(2): 644-657, February 2009.
  20. Marais, K., Saleh, J.H., “Conceptualizing and communicating organizational risk dynamics in the Thoroughness-Efficiency space,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 93(11): 1710-1719, November 2008.
  21. Marais, K., Lukachko, S., Jun, M., Mahashabde, A., and Waitz, I.A., “Assessing the Impact of Aviation on Climate,” Meteorologische Zeitschrif, 17(2): 157-172, April 2008.
  22. Marais, K., Saleh, J.H., Leveson, N.G., “Archetypes for Organizational Safety,” Safety Science, 44(7): 565-582, August 2006.
  23. Saleh, J.H., Marais, K., “Reliability: How Much is it Worth? Beyond its estimation or prediction, the (net) present value of reliability,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 91(6): 665-673, June 2006.
  24. Saleh, J.H., Marais, K., “Highlights from the early (and pre-) history of reliability engineering,” Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 91(2): 249-256, February 2006.

Conference Papers

  1. Takaharu Igarashi and Karen Marais, Modeling Extraterrestrial Construction System Failures: Lessons Learned and a Framework Based on Terrestrial Construction, AIAA SCITECH 2022 Forum, January 2022.

  2. Georgalis, G. and Marais, K. Can We Use Wisdom‐of‐the‐Crowd to Assess Risk of Systems Engineering Failures?. INCOSE International Symposium, Orlando, FL, July 2019.

  3. Georgalis, Georgios and Marais, Karen. Assessment of Project-Based Learning Courses using Crowd Signals. ASEE 2019 Annual Conference & Exposition, Tampa, FL, June 2019.
  4. Fala, N., and Marais, K., Assessing Potential Biases in Risk Communication for General Aviation Pilots, AIAA Aviation, June 2019.  
  5. Chakraborty, A., Fala, N., and Marais, K., Investigation of Feasibility of Using Low-cost AHRS to Detect GA Aircraft Hazardous States, AIAA Aviation, June 2019.
  6. Fala, N., and Marais, K., Communicating data-driven risk information to pilots, 20th International Symposium on Aviation Psychology (ISAP), May 2019.
  7. Bhargava, D., and Marais, K., Understanding Current Ways of Reporting Runway Incursion Incidents at Towered Airports, 20th International Symposium on Aviation Psychology (ISAP), May 2019.
  8. I. V. Ostroumov, N. S. Kuzmenko and K. Marais, "Optimal Pair of Navigational Aids Selection," 2018 IEEE 5th International Conference on Methods and Systems of Navigation and Motion Control (MSNMC), Kiev, 2018, pp. 32-35. doi: 10.1109/MSNMC.2018.8576293
  9. N. S. Kuzmenko, I. V. Ostroumov and K. Marais, "An Accuracy and Availability Estimation of Aircraft Positioning by Navigational Aids," 2018 IEEE 5th International Conference on Methods and Systems of Navigation and Motion Control (MSNMC), Kiev, 2018, pp. 36-40. doi: 10.1109/MSNMC.2018.8576276
  10. Aloisio, Diane and Marais, Karen. "Instant-Expertise in Failure Causation: Developing and Presenting a Network of Causes and Recommendations Extracted from Past Failures." INCOSE 2018 International Symposium, Washington, D.C., July 2018.
  11. Aloisio, Diane, Sun, Hanxi, and Marais, Karen. "Development of a Survey Instrument to Evaluate Student System Engineering Ability." ASEE 2018 Annual Conference & Exposition, Salt Lake City, UT, June 2018.
  12. Divya Bhargava and Karen Marais, "Archetypal Models of Runway Incursions", AIAA AVIATION 17thAviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, AIAA Paper 2017-4392, Denver, Colorado, June 2017.
  13. Fala, N. and Marais, K., “Detecting Safety Events during Approach in General Aviation Operations," AIAA AVIATION, 16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, AIAA Paper 2016-3914, Washington, D. C., June 2016.
  14. Rao, A. H. and Marais, K., "Comparing Hazardous States and Trigger Events in Fatal and Non-Fatal Helicopter Accidents," AIAA AVIATION, 16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations Conference, AIAA Paper 2016-3916, Washington, D. C., June 2016.
  15. Sorenson, D. C. and Marais, K., “Patterns of Causation in Accidents and Other Systems Engineering Failures,” IEEE Systems Conference, April 2016, IEEE, Orlando, FL.
  16. Rao, A. H., Fala, N., and Marais, K., "Analysis of Helicopter Maintenance Risk from Accident Data", AIAA Infotech @ Aerospace, AIAA SciTech, (AIAA 2016-2135).
  17. Gavrilovski, A., Jimenez, H., Mavris, D. N., Rao, A. H, Marais, K., Shin, S., and Hwang, I., "Challenges and Opportunities in Flight Data Mining: A Review of the State of the Art", AIAA Infotech @ Aerospace, AIAA SciTech, (AIAA 2016-0923).
  18. Rao, A. H. and Marais, K., “Identifying High-Risk Occurrence Chains in Helicopter Operations from Accident Data”, Aviation 2015, June 2015, AIAA, Dallas, TX.
  19. Goblet, V., Fala, N. and Marais, K., “Identification of Phases of Flight in General Aviation Operations”, Aviation 2015, June 2015, AIAA, Dallas, TX.
  20. Uday, P., and Marais, K., “Resilience-based System Importance Measures for System-of-Systems”, Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER), 21-22 March 2014, Redondo Beach, CA.
  21. Khadabadi, M.A., and Marais, K.," Value Centric approaches to the Design, Operations and Maintenance of Wind Turbines", ASME 2013 International Mechanical Engineering Conference and Exposition, 13-21 November, 2013, San Diego, CA.
  22. Tiffany Le and Karen Marais, "Optimization of End-Around Taxiway for Efficient Operations and Environmental Benefits", Aviation 2013, Los Angeles, CA.
  23. Sarah Arnac; Karen Marais; Seth Kreissler; Mark Skoog; David Sizoo, “Considerations for Developing the Improved Collision Avoidance System”, Aviation 2013, Los Angeles.
  24. K. B. Marais, J. Rivas, I. J. Tetzloff, and W. A. Crossley, "Modeling the Impact of Maintenance on Naval Fleet Total Ownership Cost," Proc. of 2013 IEEE International Systems Conference, Hyatt Regency Grand Cypress, Orlando, FL.
  25. Uday, P., and Marais, K., “Exploiting Stand-In Redundancy to Improve Resilience in a System-of-Systems (SoS)”, Conference on Systems Engineering Research (CSER), 19-22 March, 2013, Atlanta, GA.
  26. Uday, P., and Marais, K., “System Re-tasking to Achieve Resilience in a System-of-Systems (SoS)”, 15th Annual Systems Engineering Conference, National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA), 22-25 October, 2012, San Diego, CA. (presentation only)
  27. S. Y. Han, K. Marais, and D. DeLaurentis, "Evaluating System of Systems Resilience using Interdependency Analysis," IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Seoul, South Korea, October 14-17, 2012.
  28. Baik, H and Marais, K, "A Portfolio Evaluation Framework for Air Transportation Improvement Projects", 11th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference, Virginia Beach, VA, 20-22 September 2011.
  29. Delri Muller et al., “Evaluation of Trends and Potential Environmental Benefits of RNAV/RNP Procedures”, 11th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference, Virginia Beach, VA, 20-22 September 2011.
  30. Payuna Uday et al., “Environmental Benefits of End-Around Taxiway Operations”, 11th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and Operations (ATIO) Conference, Virginia Beach, VA, 20-22 September 2011.
  31. Landry, SJ and Marais K, Environmental Implications of Allocating Delay to Aircraft at High vs. Low Altitude, IERC 2011.
  32. Robichaud, M.R.; Arnac, S.R. ; Marais, K.B., The impact of maintenance on passenger airline safety, European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2010), Rhodes, Greece, September 2010.
  33. Reynolds, T. G., Marais, K. B., Muller, D., Uday, P., Lovegren, J., Hansman, J. R. Evaluation of Potential Near-term Operational Changes to Mitigate Environmental Impacts of Aviation. 27th ICAS Conference, Nice, France, September 2010.
  34. Karen Marais and Joseph Saleh, “System Value Trajectories, Maintenance, and its Present Value,” ESREL 2008, Valencia, 22-25 September 2008.
  35. Cornie Scheffer, Karen Marais, Riaan Meyer, “Increasing Resource Efficiency in Construction and Mining,” PTK 2007, Berlin, October 2007.
  36. Aleksandra L. Mozdzanowska , Roland E. Weibel , Edward Lester , R. John Hansman , Annalisa Weigel, and Karen Marais, “Dynamics of Air Transportation System Transition and Implications for ADS-B Equipage,” 7th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration and Operations Conference (ATIO), Belfast, 18-20 September 2007.
  37. Marais, Karen, Saleh, Joseph H., Leveson, Nancy G., “Organizational Risk Dynamics in Complex Goal Environments,” Proceedings of ESREL2007, Stavanger, Norway, June 2007.
  38. Marais, Karen and Weigel, Annalisa L., “A framework to encourage successful technology transition in civil aviation,” 25th Digital Avionics Systems Conference, Portland, Oregon, October 2006. Best paper in session.
  39. Marais, Karen and Leveson, Nancy G., “Archetypes for Organizational Safety,” International Workshop on Investigation and Reporting of Accidents, Williamsburg, VA, September 19-23, 2003.
  40. Marais, Karen, Dulac, Nicolas, and Leveson, Nancy, G., “Beyond Normal Accidents and High Reliability Organizations: Lessons from the Space Shuttle,” ESD External Symposium, Cambridge, MA, March 2004.
  41. Leveson, Nancy G., Marais, Karen, et al., “A Systems-Theoretic Approach to Safety Engineering: A Case Study Monograph of the Engineering Systems Division Symposium at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology,” ESD External Symposium, Cambridge, MA, March 2004.
  42. Neogi, Natasha A., Marais, Karen, Leveson, Nancy G., “A comparison of discrete and hybrid models of an aircraft conflict detection algorithm,” 21st Digital Avionics Systems Conference, 2002.
  43. Saleh, Joseph H., Marais, Karen S., Hastings, Daniel E. and Newman, Dava J., “The Case for Flexibility in System Design,” Proceedings of the INCOSE 2002 International Symposium, Las Vegas, NV, August 2002.
  44. Marais, Karen, Sedwick, Raymond J., “Space Based GMTI Using Scanned Pattern Interferometric Radar (SPIR),” IEEE Aerospace Conference, Montana, March 2001.
  45. Marais, Karen, Sedwick, Raymond J., “Cluster design for scanned pattern interferometric radar (SPIR),” AIAA-2001-4654, AIAA Space 2001 - Conference and Exposition, Albuquerque, NM, Aug. 28-30, 2001.
  46. Sedwick, Raymond J.; Hacker, Troy L.; Marais, Karen, “Performance analysis for an interferometric space-based GMTI radar system,” The Record of the IEEE 2000 International Radar Conference 2000, 7-12 May 2000, pp. 689 – 694.

PhD Theses

  1. Aloisio, Diane (2018). Lessons from Systems Engineering Failures: Determining Why Systems Fail, the State of Systems Engineering Education, and Building an Evidence-Based Network to Help Systems Engineers Identify and Fix Problems on Complex Projects.
  2. Rao, Arjun (2016). A new approach to modeling aviation accidents.
  3. Uday, Payuna (2015). System importance measures: A new approach to resilient systems-of-systems. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1718547446).
  4. Guo, Jingjing (2015). Quantitative safety assessment of air traffic control systems through system control capacity. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1782296748).

MS Theses

  1. Rink, Kimberley (2019). Lessons Learned in the Space Sector: An Interactive Tool to Disseminate Lessons Learned to Systems Engineers.
  2. Majumdar, Neelakshi (2018). A State-based Approach for Modeling General Aviation Fixed-wing Accidents.
  3. Chakraborty, Arpan (2018). Detecting GA Aircraft Hazardous State using a Low-Cost Attitude and Heading Reference System.
  4. Chandrahasa, Rakshit (2017). Operationalizing System Importance Measures for assessing System of System Resilience. Coming soon!
  5. Builta, Stephen (2016). Assessing fuel burn inefficiencies in oceanic airspace.
  6. Sheng, Hang (2015). Stratospheric flight environmental impact: Analysis of trends and tradeoffs (Order No. 1603114). Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1734881480).
  7. Sorenson, Diane C. (2015). Accidental knowledge: Using accidents and other project failures to inform research in systems engineering. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1746693067).
  8. Le, Tiffany T. (2014). Investigating surface performance trade-offs of unimpeded taxiways. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1615869033).
  9. Rivas, Jessica (2014). Modeling preventive maintenance in complex systems. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1617518742).
  10. Khadabadi, Madhur A. (2013). Value centric approaches to the design, operations and maintenance of wind turbines. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1518515278).
  11. Fernandes, Kevon (2012). Beyond cost-of-energy, the value-of-energy metric and value-centric approaches to design, operations, and maintenance of wind turbines. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (1323199764).
  12. Baik, Hyencheol (2011). A portfolio evaluation framework for air transportation improvement projects. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (903969434).
  13. Muller, Delri (2011). Evaluation of potential near-term operational changes and environmental trend and benefit analysis of RNAV/RNP operational procedures (Order No. 1501807). Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (905306783).
  14. Robichaud, Matthew (2011). The contribution of maintenance to aviation risk: A statistical analysis. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (904409341).
  15. Uday, Payuna (2011). Mitigating environmental impacts using aircraft operations: A systematic overview and a focus on end-around taxiways. Available from Dissertations & Theses @ CIC Institutions. (905306791).