Designing for Resilience in Seismic Hot Zones

building designsMany schools are designed like the building at left, above, with masonry halfway up the space between columns and windows above. In an earthquake this can cause the columns to bend and break at the midpoint. A stiffer, safer design results by using the same amount of masonry, but filling the gap between one pair of columns, and having windows filling the next (video here), according to Purdue University engineers. (Credit: Santiago Pujol, Purdue)

An important theme of Dot Earth is limiting losses from inevitable disasters — what I call “hard knocks.” As the human population heads toward 9 billion, more or less, with most of the growth coming in struggling places, unless more is done to boost resilience to known hazards — earthquakes included — there will be ever more wrenching imagery like that out of China (and Myanmar, as well).

Safer school, BalakotStudents in a new quake-resistant schoolroom in Balakot, Pakistan. The country saw 17,000 students and teachers die in an earthquake in 2005. (Credit: Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation)

On the earthquake front, a global network of engineers, activists, parents, earth scientists, development officials, builders and others has for years been trying to push countries and communities to make schools and other keystone structures less likely to collapse into rubble in an earthquake. In my Science Times story this week, they say the impediments to building safer schools are more social than structural. Many of the biggest problems, they say, are with institutions, the lack of oversight and inspection, the lack of accountability. The basics of earthquake engineering are as simple as the diagram above (more on that below, including a neat little video clip).

The biggest hurdle may be the same one that has made it hard for people to work now to limit human-caused climate disruption: a tendency for societies to deeply discount long-term, but potentially catastrophic risks.

For earthquake dangers, at least, once society “gets it” (hopefully not just after some local disaster, experts say), changes in design and materials are very straightforward — and often simply a matter of rearranging a conventional assortment of materials. The illustration at the top of this post, and the video below, show how engineers at Purdue University, simply by filling the gap between two adjacent columns fully with brick and mortar, made a full-scale model of a typical three-story structure twice as strong and five times as stiff.

Here’s a half-minute video clip provided by Purdue that shows the test structure, shown to be unsafe without the masonry walls, easily withstood an earthquake-style jolt with the modification.

Often school buildings are designed in the most vulnerable way, with walls rising only halfway up spaces between columns and the rest of the space taken up by weak windows. Simply changing the configuration to have alternating column gaps filled completely could greatly cut the tendency of such columns to shear or buckle sideways in an earthquake, the Purdue researchers say.

Adding simple walls to make stiffer buildings is one route to earthquake resilience, Santiago Pujol, one of the Purdue engineers, told me. In areas with more money and materials, another route is making buildings lighter and more flexible.

One way or the other, it’s clear that moving to a world that is resilient against hard knocks from a world of “rubble in waiting” — as one Caltech seismologist calls many cities in quake hot zones today — is more a matter of awareness and will than wealth.

I encourage you to look at the map we created for the Science Times story showing numbers of school-age children in places with big earthquake threats. Do you know anyone with children in schools in Oregon, British Columbia, Washington state, poorer school districts in California, India, or other known seismic hot spots?

Send this post their way.

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As you and others pointed out above, the problem is motivating governments- especially at the national level- to do the right thing, and then holding them accountable. We already know a lot about designing schools to resist earthquakes. Faoud recently attended an international conference on school safety, which was prescient and spot on in its recommendations.

Now we’ve had another disaster. If the nightmare in China doesn’t prod governments to make their schools safe, I’m not sure what will. The kind of journalism we are seeing in these NYT pieces helps.

Perhaps the UN could set up an agency specifically to deal with this problem. It could be staffed by small teams of engineers and builders who could share expertise as requested. It would be far more cost effective than traditional disaster relief, just as preventive medicine is. This agency would also need to include financial analysts who can help with justifying school safety on economic as well as moral grounds. Then, they could work with government bond and financing people to obtain funding for retrofitting and construction in a way that is a win for everyone, including the treasury.

The horror of buried schoolchildren should be enough, but it hasn’t been in the past. Accountants should show governments the financial as well as human waste of using shoddy materials and designs, even for the short term: many schools are crumbling even without earthquakes, and they are expensive to heat, repair, and replace. Knowledge of amortization of capital and wise resource allocation is often more scarce in less developed countries than engineering knowledge. This needs to be part of the program, along with relentless journalism from all members of the media. Most journalists here have been intimidated by corporate control, but maybe in other places such as Mexico and India they will find their courage. It’s possible for this issue, since the ideology or entrenchment of their current leaderships are not directly relevant.

Interesting shake table test in Indiana, by the way. And I disagree with the statement that light construction for earthquake resistant design is more expensive. There are a lot of ways to skin this cat, including high tensile strength steel profiles using better geometries in either brace frames or as integrated shear wall assemblies. I’ve got a set of plans for such a school if anyone’s interested. My email is projfund@aol.com.

The Chinese government has more than 1,200 laws, rules and directives against corruption but implementation is ineffective. Minxin Pei, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington DC, writes that with only a 3 percent likelihood of a corrupt official being sent to jail, corruption is a low-risk high-return activity. The CCP secretary in Janwei county of Sechuan province acquired 34 million yuan (US$4,897,018) and the colleague of another CCP secretary, his city’s anti-corruption chief, collected bribes worth more than 30 million yuan (US$4,320,898). Corruption in China is concentrated in those sectors with extensive state involvement, such as infrastructure projects and government procurement: “To estimate roughly the direct costs of corruption, we can suppose that 10 per cent of government spending, contracts and transactions, is used as kickbacks and bribes or is simply stolen”. Such depletion of funds contributes to environmental degradation, social instability and inadequate health care, housing and education. China is 72nd on the Transparency International (2007) corruption index.
Design, specification and construction of schools, to statutory regulations and codes, is compromised by illicit institutionalised depletion of funds designated as payment. As well, on site, Chinese builders are said to often use series of local subcontractors, a practice that complicates working procedures, obscures shortcomings and substandard substitutions, and by which costs are increased “as each contractor takes his share of the project budget”.

Corrupt procurement is more powerfully institutionalised than is the objective of reducing earthquake risk and the vulnerability of people in their dwellings, schools and hospitals. Design and specification are not the issue but illicit depletion of funding is, together with backhanders and bribery within the construction industry, inclusive of sectors for planning, building control and construction inspection. Corrupt practices are not recorded, remaining covert and concealed until the next earthquake – which is why corrupt construction is so lethal and why inspection is so important. By the time the earthquake happens, corrupt administrators, managers and contractor will be beyond recall or retribution. The small additional percentage required for initial construction safe against earthquakes, is gobbled up by twice that amount used in bribery with, and robbery from, construction budgets. That all illegally constructed dwellings should be demolished is not ridiculous: Japan has commenced the process, as also has Spain’s building fraud and corruption prosecutor: //www.radixonline.org/latest.htm

James Lewis //www.livingwithflooding.eu

The idea that climate change and earthquakes are understood equally well, and that it is just a matter of public awareness, is interesting. One can look at our history and see that the climate has changed and that earthquakes have happened. To that extent, we can be sure that it will continue to be that way in the future. Earthquakes are not anthropogenic, as far as I know. A portion of climate change is. The questions are: How much climate change is anthropogenic, what can we do about the anthropogenic part, and will the solutions be effective?

Ludwig (#3), I think the question does go beyond simply what we can do about the anthropogenic causes of climate change. There is ample evidence that society is unwilling to take the significant steps necessary to stop or reverse anthropogenic climate change, therefore we need to think about how people will live in a future, warmer world. Part of this planning is trying to understand if the changes that people make will expose them to greater risks from existing threats… and hopefully take steps to minimize that risk.

Thanks
Ken

Ken, #4, I agree with you. I didn’t mention that society should plan for the inevitable portion of the warming while it reduces the anthropogenic portion. It is true that society may not do the economically difficult things, or not enough of them. I think that society would do more if it could be shown that a certain effort would produce a certain result.

For those who are not corrupt but rather conscientious, if not concerned with their “honesty karma”, it is difficult to understand how there are those who are willingly corrupt.
I just had a brief discussion with a cousin in Pittsburgh and found out that I was wrong if I thought the air quality in Pittsburgh was good. He said it was fouled from cobalt (?) plants on Ohio and other below standard operations, making it the fourth worst air quality in the nation.
My mind reminded me of how Ohio went to Bush and how, when governor of Texas, there were all these big political contributers who were also industrialists with poor air quality standards and how Bush would let them slide even though the health of many was sorely affected.
Perhaps people are just corrupted by money and shamefully so. Even in China where there is supposed to be a socialist nation a sham exists. Especially in China, where hypothesis is out weighed by a cynical reality, is there enormous air quality problems, and now evidence of building code violations of deadly proportions.
Conscientious behavior as a norm might be a welcome relief. But a reality check says that we are being swamped over by a long list of psychological problems even to the point that psychology is a tool of rambunctious overbearing behavior being allowed even by the common man in his daily activities.

I would like to add a speculative point about anthropogenic behavior perhaps having a relationship to even earthquakes.
A recent headline said 100 years since the discovery of mid-east oil.
It seems the heat from the Earth’s core might be a thermodynamic influence on seismic shifts or activity. With all the oil, that’s been pumped out of the layer of the planet that might be absorbing some of the heat from the Earth’s core gone, now also enhanced activity might result.
I have no real sense of that from a geologists standpoint (except for one who might work for an oil company) but have wondered about the potential phenomenon.

Elizabeth Tjader May 27, 2008 · 6:45 pm

Elizabeth Tjader comments:

Karl Schwartz, #6, are you the commenter who once questioned what extracting every last ounce of oil out of the Earth might actually do to this planet? In other words, you (or another poster), expressed concern we didn’t really understand enough about the roles and functions of oil beneath the earth.
If you are, I always thought that was such a pertinent and cool question. If you’re not, it seems your post is alluding to that question anyway. Oil is some kind of lubricant or has that characteristic. I wonder?
I wish someone would answer what consequences may lie ahead from sucking all the oil out of the Earth from a geological perspective, not from the oil addict’s withdrawal symptoms? Obviously it doesn’t replenish as quickly or even at all proportionate to the rate at which it’s pumped?
Just curious.
Elizabeth Tjader

From Wang Suya

Andy Revkin mentioned detail way to build strong schools. I think that it is very important infromation. Hope every countries goverment and keyperson can read it and build strong schools for children. It is not cost so much money way, just add wall columes, can save so many young life, isn’t it a good idea? Anything can important than life?

To Ludwig # 3

There are abundant technical publications about “anthropogenic” earthquakes only the correct geoscience names are “human induced earthquakes,” “triggered earthquakes” and “induced seismicity.” Just google those terms and you will find a wealth of information on these subjects.

Under the right geological conditions, human induced earthquakes are caused by a variety
of natural resource activities. These are waterflooding of oilfields for enhanced oil recovery, production from natural gas fields,
injection and withdrawal of natural gas from deep
well storage sites, injection of waste material
into deep wells, large volume mining of products including coal, old, potash and other minerals.

In addition, the repeated filling and emptying of water from large reservoirs such as in Lake Mead behind the Hoover Dam all have been responsible for human induced earthquakes. Human induced earthquakes and induced seismicity often occur in regions of previously low histories of seismic activity.

All the above is common knowledge in the geoscience
field but almost unknown to the general public.

Dear Elizabeth Tjader,
Thanks for acknowledging my question. Perhaps someone will try and give a more knowledgeable reply.
I originally asked that question, or at least expressed my concerns, more then ten years ago. Just something that popped into my mind.
Perhaps you would agree that some of us have had intuitive concerns as to environmental issues and as to what the standards of life should be. I wrote a play in 1991 that includes many of the same concerns as today except that they are progressed.
“A Meditation on the Future and Progress of the World”
Enjoyed your UTube presentation. Nice flowers.

Elizabeth and Karl:

The latest issue of New Scientist has a piece about how extracting oil may have negative consequences for warming, because buried oil absorbs heat from lava under the crust. By removing so much oil, we may be increasing the probability of volcanic action or at least heat from below. It’s preliminary, but logical and a bit scary.

#9, J.R., thank you for the info. Now that you mention it, I remember some type of a mining incident in which there was an earthquake.

Elizabeth Tjader May 28, 2008 · 9:51 am

Elizabeth Tjader comments:

Karl Schwartz and Mike Roddy, thank you both.
Also, Karl, I think you mentioned the big, bad word for a column like this: “intuition”.
You are so wonderfully right. Many of us have had and do have “intuitive” hits on what is happening to this planet. It’s no different than knowing your children “intuitively”. When you know something is wrong with them by looking at their glassy eyes, or their body language, or knowing your own body for that matter. If we spent even half our days “knowing” this planet’s pulse, perhaps we’d be better motivated to help it. But in this country, or with this subject matter anyway, and obviously from many of the posts in here, having a “gut” feeling warrants no consideration or credibility. Animals have gut feelings before Tsunami’s, Earthquakes, etc. Any studies yet on animal behaviors before the China Earthquake? We used to be connected to that “voice”. Some of us still are. Besides the facts, which I’m not disputing are more than relevant, internal voice is also essential. I suspect Andy you must have “felt” or “known” something was amiss here on Earth or you wouldn’t have started addressing this issue so thoroughly, as many have, long, long, LONG ago.
Thanks Mike and Karl! I’ll bet your play is very cool, Karl.
Elizabeth Tjader

Elizabeth:
My theater refused to entertain my hopes to go over my play much less to try it out much to my angst. It was actually originally a letter to Peter Schumann the master puppeteer of the Bread and Puppet Theater. I made it into a booklet of 32 paraqgraphs that could be scenes. For me it was a meditation on the bestiality of man regarding his present days imposition on the world that we dwell on.
I realize that this article stems from the results of corrupt or ill advised methods of building schools that have resulted in a terrible amount of tragedy for Chinese families and also for the potential of more tragedy if there are other schools, even in the USA and Oregon that might crumble if an earthquake gets the best of them. So I’m glad Andy showed at least one example of better design.
I’m Jewish so i have an understanding of Kosher and not Kosher and also a sense of not imposing being kosher on everyone. But it is an example of a higher standard. I say this regarding my comment about psychology (of affirmation) being used that results in more of the banality that concerns us intuitive people.
It’s sometimes a bit strange to see how much anti-Kosher stuff gets thrown at people. Great bacon cheese burgers for example.

I think, if one is “kosher”, one conducts certain practices and avoids certain other practices based on their presumed effect on the presumed creator of trichinosis in pork, red tide toxin in shellfish, bacterial colonies on milk-soaked wood, etc. It seems that humans mythologize prudent practices to make them more culturally durable. One hopes that science will eventually supplant mythology as a guide to food safety issues, and remove the elements of presuming to know why the universe was created and how to flatter or avoid enraging its purported creator.

The article is quite timely given the increases in population in developing countries mentioned by Mr. Revkin. I hope the discussion goes on as time distances us from the last catastrophe. A quick examination of buildings in cities like Istanbul, tells us that what took place in China will take place again.

To try to clarify the issue of structural vulnerability, I would like to add a few words to what is said in the article. The key to the survival of a structure during an earthquake resides in the balance between two very different quantities often confused:

1) Deformation demand (how much the structure deforms during an earthquake). When the ground shakes, buildings deform because inertia tends to prevent upper stories from moving as the ground does.

2) Deformation capacity (how much deformation can be sustained before collapse). The article refers to this property as “flexibility.” In engineering jargon, flexibility and deformation capacity are not equivalent.

Anything that can be done to decrease the first and increase the second reduces the vulnerability of a structure. Addition of walls is aimed at reducing deformation demand (stiffer and stronger buildings deform less). It may have an effect on deformation capacity, but the test done at Purdue showed that this effect is not dominant. The other option (as mentioned in the article) is to increase deformation capacity. This option requires expertise, skillful workmanship, and materials.

Santiago Pujol, i am an engineer, first thank you for provide such an easy and economic way to strengthen classromm.
I am wondering how do you consider the windows for daylighting in the wall-strengthened bay.

Amiao,

Thank you very much for your question. The locations of openings (windows) and infill walls in parallel frames can be staggered so that there is at least one opening per bay. Let me try to illustrate what I mean with a rudimentary sketch:

[ANDY REVKIN writes: Dr. Pujol’s illustration didn’t work and he sent this link to a fantastic drawing showing a safer school-building design:
//cobweb.ecn.purdue.edu/~spujol/P-School.htm]
]

O——O O——O O
| | |
| | |
O O——O O——O

[This sketch represents a plan view of what may be a typical school building. Columns are represented by circles and walls by dashed lines]

If full-height windows are deemed undesirable, partial-height walls may be built but they should be offset from frames.

If reinforced concrete walls are used, instead of infill brick walls, the number of required walls and the architectural challenges decrease.

Incidentally, my last comment was meant to say: “to increase deformation capacity… requires expertise, skillful workmanship, and [good] materials.”

A really interesting article. //articlesfind.com